基于理性选择理论的社区环境对入室盗窃的影响研究
Impacts of community environment on residential burglary based on rational choice theory
查看参考文献38篇
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文摘
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入室盗窃影响人们的居家安全,已逐渐受到国内学者关注,但能结合中国国情,细化探讨人口特征及住房特征对入室盗窃影响的研究尚未多见。以东南沿海大城市ZG市226个派出所为例,采用2014年入室盗窃警情数据、人口普查数据及路网数据,重点从理性选择理论中的潜在收益和风险两大维度探讨人口特征及住房特征等社区环境对入室盗窃的影响。研究发现:人口特征方面,高学历知识分子因子对入室盗窃率起显著的负向作用,而青壮年外来务工人员因子对入室盗窃率呈现显著的正向作用;住房特征方面,普通商品房容易吸引犯罪者,成为作案目标,而原公有住房因子则能降低入室盗窃发生的风险。分析结果表明,不同住房类型所呈现的风险收益比影响入室盗窃的空间分布;入室盗窃犯罪分子对作案目标的理性选择倾向于遵循“安全第一、收益第二”的原则。研究结论可为犯罪防控和警务实践提供一定的参考。 |
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其他语种文摘
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Residential burglary is one of the common property crimes in China, which has attracted the attention from many scholars. Domestic literatures of residential burglary mainly focus on its spatial pattern and try to explain why some places suffer more crimes than other places do. Although some of them have explored how social environment and natural environment affect residential burglary, they failed to consider the complex characteristics of population and housing in the context of China's rapid urbanization. To address this, rational choice theory is applied to explain the relationship between community environment and residential burglary in ZG city, one of the biggest cities in the south of China. Using the data of residential burglary, census and road network from 226 police districts, a negative binomial regression model is estimated. Results show that both of the population characteristics and the housing characteristics have significant impacts on burglary. In terms of population characteristics, police districts with more highly educated intellectuals suffer less residential burglaries, while those with more young and middle-aged migrant workers suffer more. As for housing characteristics, police districts with more ordinary commercial residential buildings are easier to attract residential burglars, and those with more public-owned housing can effectively reduce the residential burglary rate. In addition to population and housing characteristics, the results also show that the density of road network has significant impact on residential burglary, while the density of bus lines has no effect on it. In conclusion, the balance of the perceived risk and reward of different environments would affect the spatial distribution of burglaries. Residential burglars roughly follow the rule of "safety first, benefit second" when committing crimes. This study can shed light on how population and housing characteristics influence the spatial pattern of residential burglary in China, and provide suggestions on crime prevention and control to the police. |
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来源
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地理研究
,2017,36(12):2479-2491 【核心库】
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DOI
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10.11821/dlyj201712017
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关键词
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犯罪地理
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社区环境
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入室盗窃
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理性选择理论
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地址
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1.
中山大学地理科学与规划学院综合地理信息研究中心, 广东省城市化与地理环境空间模拟重点实验室, 广州, 510275
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广州大学地理科学学院公共安全地理信息分析中心, 广州, 510006
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语种
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中文 |
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文献类型
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研究性论文 |
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ISSN
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1000-0585 |
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学科
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社会科学总论 |
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基金
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国家自然科学基金重点项目
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广东省自然科学基金研究团队项目
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国家自然科学基金项目
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广东省科技计划项目
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文献收藏号
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CSCD:6139332
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