中国省域尺度低碳经济发展综合水平评价
Development Levels of Low-Carbon Economy at Provincial Scales in China
查看参考文献24篇
|
文摘
|
低碳经济方兴未艾, 是未来世界的发展趋势. 本文运用层次分析和k均值聚类方法, 构建了一套针对中国省域尺度的低碳经济发展水平评价指标体系和指数. 论文对中国大陆30个省(市、自治区)的低碳经济发展水平现状进行了评价, 并对其进行类型划分, 得出了4种类型的低碳经济发展水平包括低碳区、相对低碳区、相对高碳区和高碳区, 并分析了影响省域低碳经济综合发展水平的相对优势指标和相对劣势指标. 评估结果表明, 我国一多半的省份属于相对高碳和高碳区, 由此说明我国目前经济发展处于相对高碳阶段. 论文最后指出, 推进低碳经济的发展, 重要的是"开源节流": 所谓"开源", 即指开发新能源和增加林地植被覆被, 以降低温室气体的排放和增大对温室气体的吸收; "节流"指通过产业结构的调整和能源利用效率的提高, 来减少碳排放 |
|
其他语种文摘
|
Low-carbon Economy(LCE)would be a prospective trend in the world as development of its theory continues.The authors established an index system and a weighted aggregative index to evaluate the development level of LCE at provincial scales in Mainland China using the Analytical Hierarchy Process(AHP)and K-Means Cluster.A judgment matrix was constructed after a structure model of AHP was built.Then,we consulted a number of experts specializing in the fields of resources,environment,economics,and sustainable development,making an attempt to obtain the weights of each index.A consistency check was performed to ensure the reliability of these weights.By adopting the method of weighted average,we derived the overall low-carbon economy development index(LCI).The K-Means Cluster was subsequently applied to classify the study areas.In particular,this study assessed the current status of the LCE levels of 30 provinces, municipalities,and autonomous regions in Mainland China.The 30 study cases were conceptually divided into four types,i.e.,low-carbon region,relatively low-carbon region,relatively high-carbon region,and high-carbon region.Furthermore,the authors systematically analyzed advantageous and disadvantageous indices which had a key impact on the comprehensive levels of LCE for the 30 study cases.Results show that more than half of China's provincial areas can be classified as relatively high-carbon regions,e.g.,Jilin,Anhui,Liaoning,Henan,Hebei,and Shandong.There are only 4 provinces involved in the category of low-carbon regions,i.e.,Beijing,Fujian,Guangdong, and Zhejiang,which are the most developed areas in China.In fact,relatively low-carbon provinces include some provinces in western China,which is primarily due to an undeveloped economy,like Qinghai,Sichuan,Guangxi,and Shaanxi.Shanxi and Ningxia pertain to high-carbon regions,which is in accord with the common sense of people.In general,China's current development level of LCE is at a stage of relatively high-carbon.Much effort needs to be made to progressively achieve a low-carbon status for China.It is suggested that the key procedure for LCE development in China be to increase the input and decrease the output of carbon emissions,where increasing the input of carbon emissions means reducing the emissions and increasing the absorption of greenhouse gases through exploiting new resources and increasing forest coverage. Decreasing the output of carbon emissions is intended to substantially reduce carbon emissions by adjusting the industrial structure and improving energy use efficiency |
|
来源
|
资源科学
,2011,33(4):612-619 【核心库】
|
|
关键词
|
低碳经济
;
评价指标
;
省域尺度
;
中国
|
|
地址
|
中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所, 北京, 100101
|
|
语种
|
中文 |
|
文献类型
|
研究性论文 |
|
ISSN
|
1007-7588 |
|
学科
|
能源与动力工程 |
|
基金
|
国家环境保护公益性行业科研专项
;
国家科技支撑计划重点项目
|
|
文献收藏号
|
CSCD:4177438
|
参考文献 共
24
共2页
|
|
1.
DTI(Department of Trade and Industry).
Energy White Paper: Our Energy Future-Create a Low Carbon Economy,2003
|
被引
2
次
|
|
|
|
|
2.
潘家华. 低碳经济的概念辨识及核心要素分析.
国际经济评论,2010(4):88-101
|
被引
15
次
|
|
|
|
|
3.
Stern Nicholas.
Ster Review on the Economics of Climate Change,2007
|
被引
1
次
|
|
|
|
|
4.
张坤民.
低碳经济论,2008
|
被引
26
次
|
|
|
|
|
5.
李俊峰. 低碳经济是规制世界发展格局的新规则.
世界环境,2008(2):17-20
|
被引
4
次
|
|
|
|
|
6.
邹骥. 对低碳经济热的冷思考.
中国市场,2010(2):76-78
|
被引
1
次
|
|
|
|
|
7.
IPCC(Intergovemmental Panel on Climate Change).
2006 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories. Japan, IGES,2006
|
被引
1
次
|
|
|
|
|
8.
张雷. 中国碳排放区域格局变化与减排途径分析.
资源科学,2010,32(2):211-217
|
被引
33
次
|
|
|
|
|
9.
郭运功. 上海市能源利用碳排放足迹研究.
中国人口·资源与环境,2010,20(2):103-108
|
被引
30
次
|
|
|
|
|
10.
朱江玲. 1850—2008年中国及世界主要国家的碳排放—碳排放与社会发展I.
北京大学学报(自然科学版),2010,46(4):497-504
|
被引
8
次
|
|
|
|
|
11.
张秀梅. 江苏省1996年至2007年碳排放效应及时空格局分析.
资源科学,2010,32(4):768-775
|
被引
67
次
|
|
|
|
|
12.
中国环境科学研究院气候变化影响研究中心. 低碳经济的概念辨识及衡量指标体系.
研究与发展,2009,4(6):1-20
|
被引
1
次
|
|
|
|
|
13.
李慧明. 低碳经济及碳排放评价方法探究.
学术交流,2010(4):85-88
|
被引
2
次
|
|
|
|
|
14.
任福兵. 低碳社会的评价指标体系构建.
江淮论坛,2010(1):122-127
|
被引
3
次
|
|
|
|
|
15.
朱有志. 发展低碳经济应对气候变化----低碳经济及其评价指标.
中国国情国力,2009(12):4-6
|
被引
5
次
|
|
|
|
|
16.
李晓燕. 基于模糊层次分析法的省区低碳经济评价探索.
华东经济管理,2010,24(2):24-28
|
被引
10
次
|
|
|
|
|
17.
IPCC.
Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report,2007
|
被引
84
次
|
|
|
|
|
18.
国家发展和改革委员会能源研究所课题组.
中国2050年低碳发展之路----能源需求暨碳排放情景分析,2009
|
被引
1
次
|
|
|
|
|
19.
Guiyang Zhuang. How will China move towards becoming a low carbon economy.
Journal of China & World Economy,2008,16(3):93-105
|
被引
1
次
|
|
|
|
|
20.
付加锋. 基于情景分析法的中国低碳经济研究框架与问题探索.
资源科学,2010,32(2):205-210
|
被引
17
次
|
|
|
|
|
了解气象卫星更多信息，请访问