中国产业能源消费碳排放结构及其减排敏感性分析
The Origin Source and Its Elasticity Analysis of the CO2 Emission Induced by Fossil Fuel Using Industrial Activities in China
查看参考文献19篇
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文摘
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本文在非竞争型投入产出分析框架下, 建立了区域碳排放的结构分析模型及其敏感性分析方法, 并利用中国2007年非竞争型投入产出表, 研究了中国产业能源消费碳排放根源以及由贸易产生的碳排放转移问题, 并进一步对中国经济结构调整的排放敏感性进行了研究。研究结果标明, 出口是中国碳排放总量迅速增加的主要推动力之一, 2007年中国对外贸易导致的净出口碳占中国碳排放总量的29.1%。而国内建筑业的投资, 机械交通电子设备的出口与投资, 国内对食品、电力热力以及服务业的消费, 化工金属等高耗能产品的出口等经济活动是我国碳排放的主要根源, 也是排放敏感性较高的经济活动。因此, 在调整产业结构, 促进产业升级, 优化出口结构, 加快产能转移, 抑制基础原材料工业产品的出口规模并逐步实施进口替代, 提高出口层次和出口产品附加值的同时, 重视提倡全民减排, 积极建立节约型社会, 特别是减少建筑业的浪费和服务业能耗, 将是中国节能减排工作的重点任务。 |
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其他语种文摘
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The study on relationship between trade and CO_2 emission will make the origin sources of CO_2 emission more distinct and will be helpful to policy making of CO_2 emissions reduction and replying the global climate change problem.By mean of the framework of non-competitive input-output models,this article sets up a relationship model for CO_2 emissions of anthrop industrial activities between two regions by the way of decomposing the economy activities into exporting,importing,consumption and investment combined with a sensitivity analysis. Then the authors calculate the CO_2 emissions induced by consumption,investment,export and import in 2007 in China respectively.A sensitivity analysis is also carried out. The conclusion is that the augment of export and the improper of export structure is the main reason for the rapid increase of CO_2 emission gross in China. Especially,in the year of 2007,the CO_2 emission induced by net export accounting for 29.1%of Chinese gross CO_2 emissions. And the huge investment in domestic building,a great deal export and investment in mahinery,transport and electronics equipment,the domestic consumption of service,electric and heat power, eating,the large amount export of metal and chemical products are the main origin sources and highest emission elasticity economic activities in the perspective of complete consumption. So it is an efficient way as well as a key task to change the export structure,expedite the international transfer of high energy-using industries,and promote the industrial technology and add-value of export products.At the same time,advocating civil emission reduction,and making great effort to build a conservationminded society,especially cutting down the waste from building industries and service energy uses are also important measures for the energy saving and emission reduction in China. |
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来源
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地理科学进展
,2010,29(6):670-676 【核心库】
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关键词
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碳排放
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产业结构
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非竞争型投入产出表
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地址
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1.
中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所, 中国科学院中国科学院区域可持续发展分析与模拟重点实验室, 北京, 100101
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中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所, 中国科学院区域可持续发展分析与模拟重点实验室, 北京, 100101
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语种
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中文 |
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文献类型
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研究性论文 |
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ISSN
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1007-6301 |
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学科
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自然地理学 |
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基金
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国家科技攻关计划项目
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国家科技基础性工作专项
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文献收藏号
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CSCD:3902172
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