农业干旱风险研究进展
New Advances in Agricultural Drought Risk Study
查看参考文献67篇
|
文摘
|
农业干旱风险分析是近年来兴起的一个新的研究领域, 这一研究不仅是农业旱灾风险管理的基础和前提, 也是农业干旱风险区划和灾前损失预评估的理论基础。本文系统阐述了农业旱灾风险的内涵及构成要素、风险分析体系及研究现状, 在此基础上指出, 依据自然灾害风险分析基本原理, 从农业旱灾危害性以及承灾体脆弱性角度系统地建立农业旱灾综合风险分析程序框架和指标体系, 尤其是开发针对每一风险要素的、动态的数学模型和指标体系是当前干旱灾害风险时空格局研究的当务之急。 |
|
其他语种文摘
|
The analysis of agricultural drought risk is not only the prerequisite of drought risk management,but also the the oretical basis of risk division and of the damages,and it has become a new research focus in recent years. The connotation,the constituent elements,the analysis system,and the study status of agricultural drought disaster were described in this paper.On this basis,this paper pointed out that,from the agricultural drought hazard and vulnerability point of view,the systematic establishment of a comprehensive drought risk analysis framework,especially the development of dynamic mathematical models and index system for each risk factor,is the research priority in the study of temporal and spatial patterns of agricultural drought risk. |
|
来源
|
地理科学进展
,2010,29(5):557-564 【核心库】
|
|
关键词
|
农业干旱
;
风险
;
危险性
;
脆弱性
|
|
地址
|
1.
中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所, 北京, 100101
2.
北京师范大学民政部/教育部减灾与应急管理研究院, 北京, 100875
|
|
语种
|
中文 |
|
文献类型
|
综述型 |
|
ISSN
|
1007-6301 |
|
学科
|
自然地理学 |
|
基金
|
国家自然科学基金项目
;
国家科技支撑计划项目
|
|
文献收藏号
|
CSCD:3902157
|
参考文献 共
67
共4页
|
|
1.
UNISDR.
Briefing Note 01:Climate Change and Disaster Risk Reduction,2008
|
被引
1
次
|
|
|
|
|
2.
张继权. 综合自然灾害风险管理——全面整合的模式与中国的战略选择.
自然灾害学报,2006,15(1):29-37
|
被引
61
次
|
|
|
|
|
3.
Wilhite D A. Planning for drought:Moving from crisis to risk management.
Water Resour. Assoc,2000,36(4):697-710
|
被引
20
次
|
|
|
|
|
4.
钱正安. 干旱灾害和我国西北干旱气候的研究进展及问题.
地球科学进展,2001,16(1):28-38
|
被引
101
次
|
|
|
|
|
5.
Dai A G. A global dataset of Palmer Drought Severity Index for 1870-2002:Relationship with soil moisture and effects of surface warming.
Journal of Hydrometeorology,2004,5:1117-1130
|
被引
129
次
|
|
|
|
|
6.
IPCC.
Climate change 2001:Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability of climate change, working groupIIreport,2001
|
被引
1
次
|
|
|
|
|
7.
IPCC.
Climate change 2007:Impacts adaptation and vulnerability, working group II report,2007
|
被引
1
次
|
|
|
|
|
8.
马宗晋.
中国重大自然灾害及减灾对策(总论),1994
|
被引
20
次
|
|
|
|
|
9.
Hagman G. Prevention better than cure.
Report on Human and Environmental Disasters in the Third World,1984
|
被引
1
次
|
|
|
|
|
10.
Changnon S A.
Detecting Drought Conditions in Illinois,1987
|
被引
2
次
|
|
|
|
|
11.
Knutson C.
How to Reduce Drought Risk,1998
|
被引
7
次
|
|
|
|
|
12.
Wilhite D A. Drought.
Encyclopedia of Earth System Science,1992,2:81-92
|
被引
4
次
|
|
|
|
|
13.
Palmer W C. Meteorological drought US.
Weather Bureau Research Paper,1965:45-58
|
被引
5
次
|
|
|
|
|
14.
Kulshreshtha S N. Agricultral drought impact evaluation model:A systems approach.
Agricultural System,1989,30(1):81-96
|
被引
1
次
|
|
|
|
|
15.
Kumar V. Predictive assessment of severity of agricultural droughts based on agro-climatic factors.
Journal of the American Water Resources Association,1997,33(6):1255-1264
|
被引
4
次
|
|
|
|
|
16.
Nullet D. Risk analysis of seasonal agricultural drought on low Pacific islands.
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology,1988,42(2/3):229-239
|
被引
4
次
|
|
|
|
|
17.
苏桂武. 自然灾害风险的分析要素.
地学前缘,2003,10(特刊):272-278
|
被引
37
次
|
|
|
|
|
18.
Lowrance W W.
Of Acceptable Risk,1976
|
被引
3
次
|
|
|
|
|
19.
Rescher N.
Risk:A Philosophical Introduction to the Theory of Risk Evaluation and Management,1983
|
被引
1
次
|
|
|
|
|
20.
Adams J.
Risk,1995
|
被引
2
次
|
|
|
|
|
了解气象卫星更多信息，请访问