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21世纪初我国粮食供需的新空间格局
New Regional Pattern of Grain Supply-demand in China in the Early 21st Century

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殷培红 1   方修琦 1   马玉玲 2   田青 1  
文摘 利用2000-2003年县级统计数据,揭示21世纪初我国粮食供需的空间格局。我国粮食供需平衡以东西分异规律为主,其次是南北分异。地势第二级阶梯以东,主要余粮区分布最广,北方明显多于南方;胡焕庸线以西,常年缺粮区为主;两线之间,潜在缺粮区居多。东北地区、华北平原生产全国近70%的余粮。长江中下游以南地区既是我国温饱水平缺粮总数最多的地区,也是第三大余粮生产区。地势第二级阶梯上的农牧交错带,温饱水平缺粮总量列第二位,是我国粮食安全最脆弱的地区。上述地区主要位于环境变化敏感地带,粮食安全自然风险最大。因此,加强环境变化对粮食供需平衡的影响研究,对深入认识我国粮食供需平衡的稳定性具有重要的现实意义和理论价值。
其他语种文摘 Based on county-level statistic data in 2000-2003,this article reveals new regional distribution and difference of supply-demand of grain in China in the early 21st century. According to per capita grain available,four types of grain supply-demand are given in this study. Regional pattern of grain supply-demand in China shows a dominant rule of east-west differentiation,and then the rule of south-north differentiation.At present,the main grain-surplus regions are most extensively distributed to the east borderline of the second ladder of topography in China,being about 1/4 of the whole country.At nearly the same quantity,the food-shortage regions in average year are mostly distributed in the region west to the sideline of population geography from Heihe city in Heilongjiang province to Tengchong city in Yunnan province, namely Huhuanyong sideline in China.The potential food-shortage regions are located between the above two geographic boundaries,which have the largest numbers of the four types of grain supply-demand regions,about 1/3 of the whole country.According to the above regional pattern of grain supply-demand,this article divided the whole country into six regions to analyze regional difference in grain production with some key indices.Northeast China and North China Plain produced nearly 70% of the surplus grains of the whole country,and the southern region of the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River ranks the third.Northeast China has the least number of food-shortage regions,and supplied about 40% of the surplus grains in China.The southern region of the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River has the greatest number of food-shortage regions in China,followed by the interlock area of farming and pasturing in the region east to the borderline of the second ladder of topography.This region is also the most fragile region in food security in China,where the level of grain production and economic development is very low.Most of the above areas are located on the regions sensitive to environmental changes,which have the highest natural risk of grain production.It is necessary to improve human acclimatization and strengthen the studies on impact of environmental changes on China's food securitv.
来源 自然资源学报 ,2006,21(4):625-631 【核心库】
关键词 粮食生产 ; 空间格局 ; 区域差异 ; 粮食供需平衡 ; 中国
地址

1. 北京师范大学地理与遥感科学学院, 北京, 100875  

2. 国家减灾中心灾害信息部, 北京, 100053

语种 中文
文献类型 研究性论文
ISSN 1000-3037
学科 社会科学总论
基金 国家自然科学基金 ;  中国科学院知识创新工程项目
文献收藏号 CSCD:2460117

参考文献 共 7 共1页

1.  封志明. 中国耕地资源数量变化的趋势分析与数据重建:1949~2003. 自然资源学报,2005,20(1):35-44 被引 98    
2.  万宝瑞. 对粮食安全问题的思考,2005:1 被引 1    
3.  刘晓梅. 中国粮食安全战略研究,2004,48 被引 5    
4.  殷培红. 21世纪初中国主要余粮区的空间格局特征. 地理学报,2006,61(2):190-198 被引 24    
5.  国家统计局农村社会经济调查总队. 中国县(市)社会经济统计年鉴,2004 被引 3    
6.  国家统计局综合司. 2003年中国区域统计年鉴,2004 被引 2    
7.  西藏自治区统计局. 西藏统计年鉴,2004 被引 3    
引证文献 55

1 仇方道 徐州市粮食生产影响因素的定量研究 安徽农业科学,2007,35(28):9079-9081
被引 0 次

2 李裕瑞 江苏省人均粮食地域格局变化特征及其驱动力研究 农业系统科学与综合研究,2008,24(1):123-128
被引 1

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