帮助 关于我们

返回检索结果

LUCC驱动力模型研究综述
Review of Land-use Model

查看参考文献51篇

文摘 驱动力研究是土地利用变化研究中的核心问题。土地利用变化驱动力模型是分析土地利用变化原因和结果的有力工具,模型通过情景分析可为土地利用规划与决策提供依据。基于不同理论的驱动力研究方法很多,论文选取了几种国内外应用较多的LUCC驱动力模型进行综述.分析了每个模型的优缺点及适用范围,最后得出结论:1)基于过程的动态模型更适于研究复杂的土地利用系统。2)基于经验的统计模型能弥补基于过程的动态模型的不足。3)基于不同学科背景的模型进一步集成将是LUCC驱动力模型未来的发展趋势.
其他语种文摘 Land use change is one of the main research subjects of global environmental change and sustainable development. Driving force is the core subject of LUCC, including both biophysical and human factors at different temporal and spatial scales. Land-use models are useful for disentangling the complex suite of socio-economic and biophysical forces that influence the rate and spatial pattern of land use change and for estimating the impacts of changes in land use. Furthermore, models can support the exploration of future land use changes under different scenario conditions. Scenario analysis with land use models can support land use planning and policy. Many land use models are available, developed from different disciplinary backgrounds. This paper reviews several current land use change models to identify priority issues for future land use change modelling research. All these models were divided into three classes: empirical and statistical models (e.g., regression model), dynamic (process-based) models (e.g., cellular automata model and system dynamic model) and integrated models (e.g., conversion of land use and its effects, or CLUE model). For each of these models, a review is given and the advantages and disadvantages are discussed. Some suggestions for improving each model have also been put forward. Finally, we get three general conclusions. First, dynamic, process-based simulation models appear to be better suited to predict changes in land-use system than empirical, statistical models. Second, empirical, statistical simulation models. Third, in the future, an models can complement dynamic (process-based) integrated approach to modeling that is based on muhidisciplinary and cross-sectoral combining elements of different modelling techniques-- will probably best serve the objective of improving understanding of land-use change processes. If this requirement is satisfied models will better support the analysis of land use dynamics and land use policy formulation.
来源 地理科学进展 ,2005,24(5):79-87 【核心库】
关键词 土地利用/土地覆被变化 ; 驱动力 ; 模型 ; 土地利用系统
地址

中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所, 新疆, 乌鲁木齐, 830011

语种 中文
文献类型 研究性论文
ISSN 1007-6301
学科 社会科学总论
基金 中国科学院西部之光人才培养计划 ;  中国科学院知识创新工程重要方向项目
文献收藏号 CSCD:2163355

参考文献 共 51 共3页

1.  UNEP-EAPAP. Land cover assessment and monitoring. Land cover assessment and monitoring, volume 1-A. Overall Methodological Framework and Summary,1995 CSCD被引 1    
2.  US-SGCR/CENR. Our Changing Planet. Our Changing Planet, the FY 1995 US. Global Change Research Program,1995 CSCD被引 1    
3.  Otsubo k. Towards land use for global environmental conservation (LU/GEC) project. Proceedings of the Workshop on Land Use for Global Environmental Conservation,1994 CSCD被引 1    
4.  IIASA. Modeling Land-Use and Land-Cover Changes. Modeling Land-Use and Land-Cover Changes. Environment and Natural Resources / LUC, 2004 Research Plant,2004 CSCD被引 1    
5.  Turner II B L. Land Use and Land Cover Change Science/Research Plan. IGBP Report No.35, HDP Report 7. IGBP of the ICSU and HDP of the ISSC,1995:35 CSCD被引 1    
6.  Lambin EF. Global land-use/land-cover changes What have we learned so far? - IGBP Global Change Newsletter. Global Change Newsletter,2001,46:27-30 CSCD被引 12    
7.  Lambin EF. LUCC Newsletter. drivers and pathways with rates and patterns of land change.LUCC Newsletter,2002 CSCD被引 1    
8.  Ojima D. The future of land research in IGBP Ⅱ. IGBP Global Change Newsletter,2002(50):31-34 CSCD被引 3    
9.  摆万奇. 土地利用变化驱动力系统分析. 资源科学,2001,23(3):39-41 CSCD被引 155    
10.  Togtohyn C. Land use change and carbon cycle in arid and semi-arid lands of East and Central Asia. Science in China, Series C(in English),2002,45:48-54 CSCD被引 5    
11.  陈百明. LUCC研究的最新进展评述. 地理科学进展,2003,22(1):22-29 CSCD被引 120    
12.  Lambin E F. Are agricultural land-use models able to predict changes in land-use intensity? Agriculture. Ecosystems and Environment,2000,82:321-331 CSCD被引 78    
13.  Bakkera M M. Soil erosion as a driver of land-use change. Ecosystems and Environment,2005,105:467-481 CSCD被引 30    
14.  Gobin A. a case study from southeastern Nigeria. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment,2002,89:213-228 CSCD被引 40    
15.  史培军. 深圳市土地利用变化机制分析. 地理学报,2000,55(2):151-160 CSCD被引 461    
16.  甘红. 土地利用类型转换的人文驱动因子模拟分析. 资源科学,2004,26(2):88-93 CSCD被引 43    
17.  摆万奇. 大渡河上游地区土地利用/土地覆被变化与驱动力分析. 地理科学进展,2004,23(1):71-78 CSCD被引 52    
18.  Verberg P H. Methods for Analyzing Complex Human-Environment Interactions. http:∥www.geo.ucl.ac.be/LUCC/lucc.html,2004 CSCD被引 1    
19.  Agarwala D K. analysis using hierarchical. Ecological Modelling,2005 CSCD被引 1    
20.  Fang SF. The impact of interactions in spatial simulation of the dynamics of urban sprawl. Landscape and Urban Planning,2004,xxx:xxx-xxx CSCD被引 1    
引证文献 36

1 李桂林 苏州市非农用地扩展的驱动因素时空变化研究 生态与农村环境学报,2006,22(4):1-7
CSCD被引 2

2 顾康康 辽中地区矿业城市土地利用变化 生态学杂志,2007,26(8):1265-1270
CSCD被引 4

显示所有36篇文献

论文科学数据集
PlumX Metrics
相关文献

 作者相关
 关键词相关
 参考文献相关

版权所有 ©2008 中国科学院文献情报中心 制作维护:中国科学院文献情报中心
地址:北京中关村北四环西路33号 邮政编码:100190 联系电话:(010)82627496 E-mail:cscd@mail.las.ac.cn 京ICP备05002861号-4 | 京公网安备11010802043238号